Tag Archives: Ian

Uncertainty Remains High In Latest Tropical Storm Ian Forecast

Discussion from the NHC 5AM advisory on Tropical Storm Ian:

 Ian is expected to remain a major hurricane when it moves
generally northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico during the
middle of the week, but uncertainty in the long-term track
and intensity forecast is higher than usual. Regardless of Ian’s
exact track and intensity, there is a risk of dangerous storm
surge, hurricane-force winds, and heavy rainfall along the west
coast of Florida and the Florida Panhandle by the middle of
the week, and residents in Florida should ensure they have their
hurricane plan in place, follow any advice given by local officials,
and closely monitor updates to the forecast.

Latest On Tropical Storm Ian

The 5AM advisory from the National Hurricane Center:

At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ian was
located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 73.5 West. Ian is moving
toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A westward to
west-northwestward motion is expected through early Sunday. A
turn toward the northwest is forecast late Sunday, followed by a
north-northwestward turn by late Monday. On the forecast track,
the center of Ian is forecast to move across the central Caribbean
Sea today, pass southwest of Jamaica on Sunday, and pass near or
over the Cayman Islands Sunday night and early Monday. Ian will
then approach western Cuba on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next few days, and Ian is expected to become a hurricane late
Sunday or Sunday night.